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Six Pack of Picks: Is LSU Ducked?

Week one picks for the weekend

For those of you who don’t know, I’m much more fo a straight picks kind guy. I take note of the spreads when I’m looking around but I rarely, if ever, will give advice or take a shot at predicting against the spread. I’ll leave that to guys like Adam Kramer from Kegs N Eggs, who will be joining me today on Blog Talk Radio to discuss just that!

Here are my picks in six games I’m watching this weekend. Feel free to share your picks in the comments section below. I’ll keep track of everyone to see how we all do. Perhaps I can organize a prize for the winner at the end of the season. So be sure to get your picks in every Friday!

Baylor vs. #14 TCU
Crystal Ball Run Dirty Dozen Picks

As I said on Crystal Ball Run yesterday, I think TCU should be on high alert Friday night in Waco. The Horned Frogs have a umber of question marks with their roster this season and it may take some time to figure everything out. Walking in to a revenge situation with Robert Griffin III and Baylor could be bad timing for Gary Patterson’s team. I think TCU will be in for a tougher bout this time compared to last season, but I think when all is said and done they pull out a win against the Big 12 team.

Pick: TCU 24, Baylor 23

#3 Oregon vs. #4 LSU (Cowboys Stadium)
Examiner.com Round Table  | Crystal Ball Run Dirty Dozen Picks

Without a doubt, the game of the week, regardless of suspension issues. Heading in to the game I would have been all over LSU here but then some players decided it would be fun to go get involved in a bar fight. That’s never a good thing, and now LSU is faced to go in to this game without starting quarterback Jordan Jefferson. Wide receiver Russell Shepard was already ruled out for the game too. LSU’s defense may be able to slow down Oregon’s offense a tad, but it won’t be enough with LaMichael James ready to bust out his 2011 Heisman campaign in style.

I’m going Ducks, but in a lower scoring game than some might expect.

Pick: Oregon 24, LSU 17

#5 Boise State vs. #19 Georgia (Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game)
Examiner.com Round Table | Crystal Ball Run Dirty Dozen Picks

 

This is a monster game for both teams. If Boise State loses, the BCS dreams are pretty much shot. If Georgia loses, MArk Richt’s job security weakens and the Bulldogs are in the face of a possible 0-2 start to the season. I suspect both quarterbacks will play well, with Kellen Moore a Heisman candidate from the start and Georgia’s Aaron Murray one of the younger stars in the passing game in the nation. I give a slight edge to Georgia just because of the relative home field advantage in Atlanta but I am well aware of Boise State’s history of not caring about going up against the big boys. This should be a fun game.

Pick: Georgia 28, Boise State 24

#16 Notre Dame vs. South Florida
Crystal Ball Run Dirty Dozen Picks

I placed Notre Dame on upset alert for this game and here’s why. South Florida has B.J. Daniels, a tremendous athlete under center who is more than capable of taking advantage of an opposing defense’s mistakes. Notre Dame’s defense is supposed to be improving under Brian Kelly, and we’ll see if that is true as the season progresses. Notre Dame’s offense should be able to move the ball without too much of a problem against South Florida but I expect South Florida to stand tall in this contest and hang in there until the end.

Pick: Notre Dame 31, South Florida 24

#8 Texas A&M vs. SMU
Crystal Ball Run Dirty Dozen Picks

Again, I put the Aggies on notice in my Crystal Ball Run upset alert this week, but that doesn’t mean I don’t think they will lose. I think Texas A&M will be able to pull away from SMU because I just don’t think SMU has the defense that is ready to slow down a decent offense yet. I think Kyle Padron is a fine quarterback but he will have his work cut out for him to get everything done against Texas A&M. It certainly wouldn’t shock me to see SMU have life in the fourth quarter, but that’s more because I’m not buying in to the Aggie hype at this point. But I’m not stupid.* Aggies win this one.

Pick: Texas A&M 30, SMU 17

Ole Miss vs. BYU

I had this game in the Crystal Ball Run Dirty Dozen. Here is what I wrote there:

BYU hopes that life as an independent has its rewards, but opening the year in SEC territory is never easy.  Houston Nutt’s team returns nine offensive starters but it is the defense that could hold the Rebels back. Ole Miss allowed an average of 35 points per game. That’s good news for Bronco Mendenhall’s team, which returns ten offensive starters and is looking to pick up the scoring this season and getting back to the BYU norm. Look for JJ Di Luigi to find some holes in the running game, and and punch in a couple touchdowns for BYU.

Pick: BYU 32, Ole Miss 28

* Not scientifically proven. I have had plenty of people on Twitter suggest I am in fact pretty stupid.

About the Author

Kevin McGuire
Contributor to College Football Talk on NBCSports.com. Also a contributor to Athlon Sports and The Comeback. Member of Football Writers Association of America and National Football Foundation. Follow on Twitter @KevinOnCFB.
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