I use to do a regular Friday feature on my personal blog to share my six football picks for the weekend. I decided it was time to move things over here, a football website, and begin to keep track of my picks straight up and against the spread. You can see my picks to some of the more notable games at Crystal Ball Run. Let’s see how I do…
Louisville (-42.5) vs. Florida International
The Louisville Cardinals should romp Florida International, the Panthers just a mess of a program right now. As much as I like Louisville and as little as I think about FIU, 42 points just seems like a lot to me. It could very well happen though. The Cardinals won their season opener against Ohio by 42 points, and I think Ohio would have little trouble with FIU. Still, the spread is a little too high for me to want to take much of a chance with it.
The Pick: Louisville wins straight up but fails to cover the spread
Georgia Tech (-6.5) vs. North Carolina
Georgia Tech is already starting to turn a few heads, as they seem to do every few years. The offense has looked solid in blowout wins against Elon and at Duke. The running game we always expect form a Paul Johnson team, but quarterback Vad Lee has 314 passing yards and six touchdowns after two games. Is this Georgia Tech team different, or is this too much a small sample size? We should find out this weekend. This line opened at Georgia Tech -3.5 has gone up in a big way. I’m going the other way on this one though. I think Georgia Tech gets their first real contest of the year this weekend and UNC comes up with a big effort.
The Pick: UNC wins this one, outright.
Wisconsin (-24) vs. Purdue
Purdue gave Notre Dame just about all they could last weekend at home, and Wisconsin is looking to take out their frustrations on somebody after the way last weekend’s game at Arizona State ended. In Madison, I think this is a bad situation for the Boilermakers. Wisconsin’s defense is solid and better than usually given credit for and that offense should be just fine. I can’t say the same for Purdue. In conference play 24 points seems like a lot, but Wisconsin could very well cover it against Purdue. The Badgers are 3-0 against the spread this season and Purdue is 1-2.
The Pick: Wisconsin wins straight up and covers.
Penn State (-21) vs. Kent State
Penn State’s defense was exposed by Central Florida last weekend, and it was not pretty. I think the defense has a solid week on the rebound as a defensive unit and against a Kent State offense without their best player, Dri Archer, I think Penn State should be able to get by Kent State without too much of a struggle. This is not the Kent State I expected to see this season and I just do not like their chances this weekend in State College.
The Pick: Penn State wins and covers.
Connecticut vs. Michigan (-18)
The Michigan Wolverines make a rare Big Ten visit in to the land of The American and they are looking to get past the near disaster against Akron last week. Because the Zips played the Wolverines down to the wire last week, I am taking Michigan to win going away in Connecticut this weekend. UConn has lost home games to Towson and Maryland this season and I do not think Michigan is as weak as Akron may have suggested. I just don’t see Michigan struggling much this week against the Huskies.
The Pick: Michigan wins and covers.
Minnesota (-5.5) vs. San Jose State
The Gophers are off to a 3-0 start and thinking about a postseason game. I think they get to six wins to get to a second straight bowl game, but this game is not exactly going to be easy. Minnesota has put up a bunch of points but this weekend they look to slow down the passing game of San Jose State and David Fales. San Jose State’s offense may be capable of giving some teams some trouble and I think Minnesota is one of those teams.
The Pick: Minnesota wins but fails to cover the spread.